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AI ECPG Forecast

Bullish Case: With ECPG's historical uptrends and low implied volatility indicating potential for recovery, a positive earnings surprise or improved market conditions can drive prices above $55. Analysts expect robustness in earnings growth.

Bearish Case: Rising default rates coupled with high implied volatility signals significant risk. If regulatory pressures impact operations further, ECPG may face declines, potentially dropping to $40 or lower.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive Q3 earnings (+10% EPS): 30%.

2. Increased regulatory scrutiny: 25%.

3. Default rates escalate: 20%.

4. Market stability with no significant changes: 25%.

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August 21, 2024

Encore Capital Group Forecast

ECPG Encore Capital Group

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