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EFSC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: EFSC’s low price-to-book ratio and recent institutional interest suggest undervaluation. Historical mean-reversion and potential earnings beat could spark a rally, enhancing investor confidence.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and operational challenges suggest downside risk. An earnings miss could trigger significant sell-offs, worsened by macroeconomic uncertainties and elevated volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings beat fuels rally (30%).

2. Continued downtrend on earnings miss (50%).

3. Sideways due to mixed results (20%).

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February 22, 2025

Enterprise Financial Services Forecast

EFSC Enterprise Financial Services

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EFSC

ZION Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.96)

DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.96)

MTB M & T (0.95)

CBRE CBRE (0.94)

ORI Old Republic International (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EFSC

RMBS Rambus (-0.0)

PBPB Potbelly (0.0)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.01)

YELP Yelp (0.01)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EFSC

XRX Xerox (-0.87)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.87)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.88)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)

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