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ELAN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ELAN's recent increase in call option volume and a 3.9% price rise over the past month, alongside lower implied volatility, suggest a rebound potential.



Bearish Case: Historical underperformance, a mean-reverting trend, and backwardated volatility term structure point to continued challenges and potential declines.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price rise on innovation and partnerships (30%).
  • Stability due to mixed signals (45%).
  • Continued decline from market challenges (25%).



Trading Oracle: Engage in a cautious straddle strategy. Buy both call and put options at $13.50 expiring in 60 days. This leverages ELAN's unpredictable movements and mean-reverting nature to capture profit from volatility.


January 30, 2025


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LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (0.02)


FFWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FFWM  First Foundation (0.03)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ELAN


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ALKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALKT  Alkami Technology (-0.7)


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