EMBD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Solid emerging market yields and potential recovery in Asia and Latin America could drive EMBD higher. The mean-reverting nature of returns supports potential price rebounds.




Bearish Case: Political instability, currency risks in emerging markets, and current high volatility levels could pressure EMBD. Historical underperformance during global crises adds concern.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stability amid volatility: 60%.
  • Moderate downturn due to political unrest: 25%.
  • Unexpected market recovery drives growth: 15%.




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January 29, 2025


Global X Emerging Markets Bond Forecast

EMBD        Global X Emerging Markets Bond











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EMBD



SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (0.8)


MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (0.77)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.76)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.76)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EMBD



APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (-0.0)


XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (-0.0)


AVY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVY  Avery Dennison (-0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EMBD



VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.62)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.62)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.62)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.64)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.75)









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