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EPS Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Given strong historical return probabilities and stability around current pricing, potential for a moderate recovery driven by positive earnings sentiment remains strong.



Bearish Case: Implied volatility spikes suggest market uncertainty and potential downside risks, especially in response to economic factors, which could pressure EPS below $60.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued stability around $62.47 (40%).
2. Potential rally to $65 (30%).
3. Market correction towards $58 (20%).
4. Significant downturn due to economic shocks (10%).



Trading Oracle: Engage in a long debit spread on EPS targeting $63, given implied volatility trends suggest high reward potential. Take advantage of current pricing to leverage long volatility posture while minimizing risk exposure. Suitable for a 1-2 month outlook.


November 15, 2024


WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Forecast

EPS        WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EPS


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (1.0)


VT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (1.0)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (1.0)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (1.0)


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.99)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EPS


FATE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FATE  Fate Therapeutics (-0.0)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (0.0)


LEU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEU  Centrus Energy (0.0)


QRVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QRVO  Qorvo (-0.01)


TTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTWO  Take-Two Interactive Software (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EPS


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.93)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.94)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.95)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-1.0)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-1.0)







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