EPS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Low implied volatilities near $63 and strong historical returns suggest an ongoing upward momentum, with supportive large-cap fundamentals.




Bearish Case: High volatility at lower strikes indicates market caution, hinting at potential downside risks due to economic uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued stability around $63: 35%

2. Moderate rally to $66: 25%

3. Correction to $59 due to economy: 30%

4. Unexpected downturn: 10%




Trading Oracle: Execute short credit spreads at $63, expiring in 60 days. Favor market's low volatility perception. Expect sideway trends with a slight bearish bias, capitalizing on favorable risk-to-reward dynamics in a stable large-cap environment.



February 14, 2025


WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Forecast

EPS        WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap











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