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ERAS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: FDA approval of ERAS-801 could drive significant gains, leveraging high implied volatility to accelerate market adoption and investor confidence.



Bearish Case: High implementation costs and regulatory hurdles persist, limiting adoption and exposing ERAS to further price declines amidst volatility.



Potential Outcomes:
  • FDA Approval (60%): Potential short-term surge.
  • Regulatory hurdles (40%): Could dampen sentiment.
  • Positive trial results (50%): Boost confidence, drive adoption.
  • Cost challenges (50%): Risk slowing growth.


May 07, 2025


Erasca Forecast

ERAS        Erasca

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ERAS


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.84)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.79)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.79)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.78)


RVMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVMD  Revolution Medicines (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ERAS


IGV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGV  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (0.0)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (0.0)


DDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDD  3D Systems (-0.01)


HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (0.01)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ERAS


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.58)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (-0.59)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.63)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.67)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.71)







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