ERII Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ERII’s innovative tech in desalination and energy efficiency, along with high call option volume, signals potential growth despite recent volatility.




Bearish Case: Persistent earnings declines and market instability, combined with high implied volatility, suggest potential for ongoing underperformance.




Potential Outcomes: Steady performance stabilization (40%), earnings-driven decline (30%), tech-driven growth surge (20%), and volatility-driven instability (10%).




Trading Oracle: Execute bullish debit spreads on ERII targeting May expirations. Favor $15 call options where implied volatility is optimal. High call volume supports upside while limiting downside risk. Apply mean-reversion insights to capture potential rebound. Monitor volatility shifts and adjust positions as needed.



February 11, 2025


Energy Recovery Forecast

ERII        Energy Recovery











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ERII



MAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAS  Masco (0.8)


SCHH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHH  Schwab U.S. REIT (0.77)


PTGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTGX  Protagonist Therapeutics (0.77)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.77)


CCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCK  Crown Holdings (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ERII



DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (0.0)


QSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QSR  Restaurant Brands International (-0.0)


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (-0.01)


JAMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JAMF  Jamf (-0.01)


FND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FND  Floor & Decor (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ERII



WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.65)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.65)


CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.67)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.69)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.76)









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