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ERII Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ERII’s innovations in water treatment and sustainability trends, compounded by high implied volatility, suggest potential for positive growth as green energy demand rises.



Bearish Case: Persistent earnings decline, market volatility, and skepticism about scalability may hinder ERII's competitiveness, risking further price drops if challenges persist.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of innovation-driven growth.
  • 30% chance of continued sluggishness due to earnings decline.
  • 20% chance of market instability affecting prices negatively.
  • 20% chance of stabilization from mean reversion.


April 22, 2025


Energy Recovery Forecast

ERII        Energy Recovery

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Assets that tend to move strongly with ERII


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SPYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYD  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (0.72)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (0.71)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.7)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ERII


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (-0.0)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.01)


CXW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CXW  CoreCivic (-0.02)


AROC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AROC  Archrock (0.02)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ERII


CLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLW  Clearwater Paper (-0.61)


BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BA  Boeing (-0.64)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.66)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.7)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.74)







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