ESTC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Elastic's growth in AI and cloud markets, coupled with strong product innovation, supports bullish sentiment. The implied volatility curve reflects potential upside opportunities.




Bearish Case: Competitive pressures and high valuation risks raise concerns. Volatility surface shows unstable outlook, indicating possible market correction or downturn.




Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of strong AI-driven growth, 30% potential market correction, 20% risk from competition causing price drops.




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February 04, 2025


Elastic Forecast

ESTC        Elastic











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ESTC



INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (0.65)


SNPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNPS  Synopsys (0.63)


IRBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRBT  Irobot (0.6)


AXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXL  American Axle & Manufacturing (0.59)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (0.59)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ESTC



BMEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMEA  Biomea Fusion (-0.0)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.0)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (-0.0)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (0.01)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ESTC



SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.58)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.59)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.6)


ALDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALDX  Aldeyra Therapeutics (-0.61)


PSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSN  Parsons (-0.67)









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