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ESTC Forecast + Trading Strategies

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Elastic's integration of AI and cloud solutions boosts adoption, expanding revenue streams. Favorable term structure indicates potential stability, supporting bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Competitive pressures and declining prices over recent months suggest vulnerabilities. Elevated implied volatility indicates market concern, raising risks for ESTC's near-term trajectory.

Potential Outcomes: 1. 50%: AI and cloud growth drive revenues.

2. 30%: Competition limits growth; volatility persists.

3. 20%: Innovation breakthroughs affect positively.

May 20, 2025

Elastic Forecast

ESTC Elastic

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