ETSY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Despite high volatility, growth potential from AI and global expansion offers a compelling upside. Historical resilience suggests opportunity for bullish moves.


Bearish Case: Current price action indicates bearish sentiment. High implied volatility and market uncertainty exacerbate downside risks amidst competitive pressures.


Potential Outcomes:

1. AI and global expansion (35%).

2. Regulatory and macro challenges (40%).

3. Market stabilization post-volatility (25%). Implied volatility analysis indicates no bias.


Trading Oracle: Execute bearish credit spreads for short-term profit; sell near-term OTM calls and buy far OTM calls. 1-2 month outlook focuses on premium decay capture. High probability-of-profit with positive edge due to current high volatility and bearish sentiment.


June 30, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ETSY



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.66)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.55)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.29)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ETSY



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.29)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.55)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.66)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ETSY



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.66)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.55)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.29)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.5)


ETSY News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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