Bullish Case: Etsy's Q1 earnings exceeded revenue expectations with increasing active users [benzinga.com], home décor trends for 2023 offer growth opportunities [mydroll.com], and AI technology may support new businesses [ZDNet].


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Bearish Case: Etsy's Q1 GMS declined YoY [benzinga.com], downside risk is currently 2% higher than upside risk [Helium], and average implied volatility is at the 3rd percentile [Helium].


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Takeaway: Etsy's recent performance shows promise, but increased downside risk and market uncertainty pose challenges for the stock [Helium].


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Potential Outcomes:

1. Sales growth from 2023 décor trends (60%) [Helium].

2. Stock decline due to increased downside risk (40%) [Helium].

3. AI-driven businesses boost overall platform success, raising stock (30%) [Helium].


May 23, 2023



Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with ETSY



A Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [A]  Agilent (0.86)


HOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HOG]  Harley-Davidson (0.86)


MS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MS]  Morgan Stanley (0.82)


DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DE]  Deere (0.78)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SHLS]  Shoals (0.77)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to ETSY



CPE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CPE]  Callon Petroleum (0.0)


NUGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NUGT]  Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X S (-0.0)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [YELP]  Yelp (-0.01)


PSQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PSQ]  ProShares Short QQQ (0.01)


MYGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MYGN]  Myriad Genetics (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against ETSY



CRWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CRWD]  Crowdstrike (-0.55)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRTY]  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.67)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RWM]  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.68)


APP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [APP]  Applovin Corp (-0.69)


SKF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SKF]  ProShares UltraShort Financials (-0.74)


ETSY News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

Most Recent ETSY News



ETSY Media Sentiment (?)


1.8:  Forbes


-1.0:  CNBC


-1.3:  Business Insider