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EWW Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong economic recovery in Mexico, indicated by positive trade relations and favorable reforms, may drive growth in EWW. Historical price data shows resilience, supporting upward momentum.



Bearish Case: Political instability and currency depreciation could pose risks to EWW. The flattening volatility curve suggests potential challenges ahead, with lower confidence in significant price movements.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Upside due to increased trade and reforms (40%)
  • Price stagnation amid mean reversion (35%)
  • Downside from political instability (25%)



Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility is preferred as the implied volatility is higher around current strike prices, suggesting potential downside with profitability in buying out-of-the-money puts and selling further out-of-the-money puts to manage risk.


May 15, 2025


iShares MSCI Mexico Forecast

EWW        iShares MSCI Mexico

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EWW


ILF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILF  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Latin America 40 (0.87)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (0.85)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.83)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (0.82)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EWW


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.0)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (-0.0)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (-0.02)


IPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IPI  Intrepid Potash (0.02)


EQX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQX  Equinox Gold (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EWW


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (-0.75)


CALM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALM  Cal-Maine Foods (-0.75)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (-0.76)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (-0.79)


BLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLK  Blackrock (-0.79)







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