EWZ Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Brazil's emerging market dynamics, policy stabilization, and rising commodity prices support EWZ's long-term growth. Increased foreign investments and market reforms provide tailwinds, suggesting bullish momentum.


Bearish Case: Persistent economic challenges, regulatory uncertainties, and global market corrections may drive EWZ lower. Recent underperformance and high volatility indicate potential downside risks.


Potential Outcomes: Continued uncertainty (35%), volatility spike short-term (30%), economic recovery driving medium-term gains (35%). Probabilistic estimates are derived from historical correlations and current market conditions.


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June 30, 2024


iShares MSCI Brazil Forecast

EWZ      iShares MSCI Brazil











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EWZ



PRLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRLB  Proto Labs (0.83)


SNOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNOW  Snowflake (0.83)


WGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WGO  Winnebago Industries (0.8)


RHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RHI  Robert Half International (0.8)


XMTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XMTR  Xometry (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EWZ



EWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Hong Kong (0.0)


COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (0.0)


BWXT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BWXT  BWX (0.0)


CRUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRUS  Cirrus Logic (-0.0)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EWZ



MRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRO  Marathon Oil (-0.64)


AR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AR  Antero Resources (-0.67)


CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.68)


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.69)


QID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QID  ProShares UltraShort QQQ (-0.69)





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