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EXAS Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: EXAS's recent approval of Cologuard Plus and positive market sentiment indicate potential for increased adoption and revenue growth, driving stock prices upward despite prior struggles.



Bearish Case: Persistent financial challenges and market skepticism could decelerate stock growth, compounded by low trading volume and unresolved regulatory hurdles, posing downside risks.



Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of strong adoption for Cologuard Plus boosting revenues; 30% chance financial issues persist; 20% chance of regulatory setbacks affecting product timelines; 10% unclear outcomes from pending patent litigations.



Trading Oracle: Strategically initiate a bull call spread on EXAS by purchasing the $75 call and selling the $80 call, targeting potential price acceleration post-Cologuard Plus release. This aligns with current market expectations and maintains a favorable risk/reward ratio. Focus on volatility skew, anticipating trading volume increases ahead.


October 27, 2024


Exact Sciences Forecast

EXAS        Exact Sciences

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Assets that tend to move strongly with EXAS


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.73)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.72)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.71)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.64)


SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EXAS


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.0)


PNR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNR  Pentair (0.0)


EWG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWG  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Germany (-0.0)


TEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TEX  Terex (-0.0)


CWEB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEB  Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bu (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EXAS


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (-0.61)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (-0.61)


PSTG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSTG  Pure Storage (-0.62)


ALLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLY  Ally Financial (-0.64)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (-0.65)







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