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EXAS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Growth in Cologuard sales and international expansion could drive significant revenue, leveraging low comparative volatility. Product innovation diversifies and stabilizes revenue streams amid positive investor sentiment.



Bearish Case: Persistent financial struggles, a decline in share prices, and potential regulatory hurdles overshadow growth prospects. High implied volatility and mean reversion indicate ongoing instability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of innovation-driven revenue growth.
  • 35% ongoing financial struggles weigh on stock.
  • 15% regulatory issues delay new products, impacting prices.



Trading Oracle: Bearish Short Volatility strategy capitalizes on current high implied volatility and negative trend, with a 79% probability using call options. Leverages ongoing instability and uncertainties affecting EXAS.


April 02, 2025


Exact Sciences Forecast

EXAS        Exact Sciences

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with EXAS


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.74)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.69)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.65)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.62)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to EXAS


SPTM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPTM  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market (0.0)


ECL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ECL  Ecolab (0.0)


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.01)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.01)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against EXAS


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.45)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.46)


GREK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GREK  Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Greece (-0.48)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (-0.5)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.53)







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