EXAS Forecast




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: With the upcoming launch of Cologuard Plus and favorable FDA commentary boosting investor sentiment, EXAS's stock could see significant appreciation, driven by increased adoption and revenue expectations.




Bearish Case: Heightened volatility and lowered revenue guidance amid rising competition in colorectal cancer diagnostics may lead to downward price pressure, compounded by market skepticism.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 60%: Positive reception of Cologuard Plus uptake leads to increased revenues.
  2. 25%: Sustained financial struggles amidst competition suppress stock value.
  3. 15%: Regulatory challenges surrounding new products hinder growth potential.




Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bullish call spread by buying the 65.00 C and selling the 70.00 C with an expiration in February. This strategy capitalizes on projected volatility spikes while limiting downside risks.



December 20, 2024


Exact Sciences Forecast

EXAS        Exact Sciences











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