AI FDMT Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: Positive clinical data for 4D-150 boosts investor confidence and demand, potentially leading to a price surge towards $20, given implied volatility trends favoring upward movements.


Bearish Case: Clinical failures or negative trial results could trigger significant sell-offs, as indicated by high put option volatility, pushing the stock below $15 amidst existing market uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive trial results leading to a 40% price increase (30% chance).

2. Continued market volatility affecting prices around $14-$16 (50% chance).

3. Major setbacks leading to drops below $10 (20% chance).


Trading Oracle: Engage in debit spreads, buying FDMT 09/20/2024 17.50C while selling 20.00C to exploit high implied volatility on bullish sentiment. Adjust strikes based on continuing trial data. This strategy captures potential volatility, aiming for returns as trial results unfold.


September 18, 2024


4D Molecular Therapeutics Forecast

FDMT      4D Molecular Therapeutics











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