FDUS Forecast


Bullish Case: Fidus Investment shows robust dividend payouts with strong demand for new loans, reflected in portfolio growth. Its stock is still priced near NAV, indicating potential upside.


Bearish Case: FDUS has shown neutral price action with low near-term growth as indicated by AI forecasts. Current implied volatilities are elevated, suggesting high uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Dividend increases boost price (35%).

2. Portfolio underperformance spooks investors (25%).

3. Special dividends support price (30%).

4. High volatility affects returns (10%).


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July 16, 2024


Fidus Investment Forecast

FDUS      Fidus Investment











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FDUS



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