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FDX Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: FedEx's strategic initiatives and e-commerce growth potential support a positive outlook. Higher call volume indicates bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: Operational challenges, high implied volatility, and competition pressures suggest potential downward risk. Bearish risks are significant.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth in e-commerce boosts volumes (60%).
  • Operational struggles curb profit margins (30%).
  • Reputational issues from operational incidents damage brand (10%).



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying $280C and selling $290C, expiring in March. Favorable term structure hints at potential price stabilization. Optimize for a strong reward-to-risk ratio given implied volatility dynamics.


January 09, 2025


Fedex Forecast

FDX        Fedex

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