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FDX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Anticipated holiday demand could lead to increased package volumes, driving FDX's profitability. Recent operational efficiencies and partnerships enhance brand image, potentially boosting stock performance.



Bearish Case: Legal issues and ongoing labor disputes could negatively impact FedEx's reputation and operational efficiency, leading to a potential decline in stock value amid macroeconomic headwinds.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Increased holiday demand lifts stock price by 20% (40% chance).
  2. Legal challenges reduce market confidence, leading to a 10% drop (30% chance).
  3. Operational efficiencies lead to a sustained 15% gain (20% chance).
  4. Labor disputes erupt, causing a 10% decline (10% chance).



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish strategy via a debit spread by purchasing $300 calls and selling $305 calls, expiring within 7 days. This exploits current high implied volatility while positioning for near-term bullish momentum, with an estimated probability of profit around 78% and a potential return of 15%.


December 01, 2024


Fedex Forecast

FDX        Fedex

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DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FDX


FIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVE  Five Below (-0.69)


BMEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMEA  Biomea Fusion (-0.69)


TU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TU  Telus (-0.72)


NAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NAT  Nordic American Tankers (-0.72)


HELE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HELE  Helen of Troy (-0.72)







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