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FEZ Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: FEZ may rise due to stabilizing EU economies and ECB stimulus. Lower implied volatility supports potential upward momentum.



Bearish Case: FEZ could face downside pressure from geopolitical tensions and economic slowdown fears, exacerbated by high implied volatility.



Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of 5% gain due to positive economic data, 20% chance of 10% drop from geopolitical tensions, 50% chance of flat performance as uncertainties persist.



Trading Oracle: Execute bullish debit spread: buy $53.00 call, sell $54.00 call, expiring in ~99 days. Positive edge, high potential return, targets moderate bullish moves. Aligns with lower implied volatility insights from Helium data for enhanced probability of profit.


February 08, 2025


SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 Forecast

FEZ        SPDR EURO Stoxx 50

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FEZ


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (0.68)


XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.67)


BYND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYND  Beyond Meat (0.64)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.63)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FEZ


SHOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHOO  Steven Madden (0.0)


MAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAS  Masco (0.0)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (-0.0)


CQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQQQ  Invesco China Technology (-0.01)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FEZ


NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (-0.42)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.44)


OPFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPFI  OppFi (-0.45)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.46)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.49)







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