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FHN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong fundamentals and a 9.5% price increase over the past month suggest resilience. Optimism in social sentiment and strategic tech investments bolster potential growth.

Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and ongoing regional banking instability present significant risks. Recent price stagnation and high implied volatility signal potential downside.

Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of independent growth leveraging tech investments; 40% risk from macroeconomic pressures; 25% potential for M&A activities.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by buying $22 calls and selling $24 calls with a 90-day horizon. This capitalizes on low volatility with a betting edge on resilience and growth, aiming for a high probability of profit. It balances risk and reward effectively.

February 01, 2025

First Horizon Forecast

FHN First Horizon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FHN

ZION Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.92)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.92)

BCS Barclays (0.91)

KNTK Kinetik (0.88)

ATGE Adtalem Global Education (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FHN

AMC AMC Entertainment (-0.0)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

GTE Gran Tierra Energy (-0.01)

INTU Intuit (-0.01)

YELP Yelp (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FHN

LEA Lear (-0.76)

XRX Xerox (-0.77)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.78)

COTY Coty (-0.78)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)

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