FSLR Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: First Solar's significant backlog and favorable US government incentives suggest strong growth potential. Technical trends indicate a possible price recovery, and current implied volatility supports bullish positions.




Bearish Case: Market uncertainty stemming from rising competition and reputational damage due to a forced labor scandal could suppress stock performance. High implied volatility reflects significant downside risk.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rallies to $200 (60%)

2. Stagnation at $180 (20%)

3. Price drop to $160 due to competition or scandals (15%)

4. Unexpected positive earnings surprise leading to $220 (5%)




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November 14, 2024


First Solar Forecast

FSLR        First Solar











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