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FUNC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FUNC's historical resilience with a 237% 10-year gain suggests strong long-term potential. The likely stabilization, along with historical upward returns over longer periods, supports a positive outlook.

Bearish Case: Recent declines (-14.8% over 90 days) and mean-reverting patterns imply potential short-term volatility. Economic pressures and market skepticism could hinder recovery if negative trends persist.

Potential Outcomes:

1. FUNC stabilizes around $30.13 (55%) due to mean reversion.

2. Upward trend to $35 as confidence rebounds (20%).

3. Decline towards $25 if market volatility increases (25%).

March 16, 2025

First United Forecast

FUNC First United

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Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FUNC

CMI Cummins (0.95)

FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.94)

EWBC East West Bancorp (0.94)

CBRE CBRE (0.94)

BR Broadridge Financial Solutions (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FUNC

DV DoubleVerify (-0.0)

FN Fabrinet (0.01)

MNST Monster Beverage (-0.01)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (-0.02)

RMBS Rambus (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FUNC

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.87)

ASML New York Shares (-0.88)

VAL Valaris (-0.88)

FRO Frontline (-0.89)

BIIB Biogen (-0.9)

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