GES Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GES can leverage resurgent fashion trends and strong brand loyalty to capture market share, increasing sales despite current market volatility.




Bearish Case: Heightened operational costs and uncertainty in consumer preferences may pressure GES's profitability, thereby constraining potential upside.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Sales growth from capitalizing on fashion trends (60%)
  2. Profit decline due to rising costs (30%)
  3. Unexpected market fluctuation impacts (10%)




Trading Oracle: Consider a long call debit spread (Helium Long Volatility) targeting June 2025 with strikes around $15-$17. Implied volatility appears advantageous; capitalize on potential upside from spring trend cycles, aiming for high reward-risk trades against mean-reverting background.



February 01, 2025


Guess Forecast

GES        Guess











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OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

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UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.0)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.0)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (-0.01)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (-0.01)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GES



AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.89)


TVTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TVTX  Travere Therapeutics (-0.89)


ONON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONON  On (-0.89)


TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (-0.9)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.91)









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