GES Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GES shows strong brand loyalty. Current options activity hints at bullish sentiment, supported by high call volume and a favorable positioning in volatile markets.




Bearish Case: GES faces high volatility and cost pressures. Backwardation in the term structure suggests potential downside, with previous price declines adding to uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Resurgence in fashion trends boosts sales (60%).
  • Cost pressures reduce profitability (30%).
  • Unpredictable market fluctuations impact prices (10%).



May 20, 2025


Guess Forecast

GES        Guess











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GES



ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.96)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.96)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.96)


CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (0.96)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GES



WCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WCC  Wesco International (0.01)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (0.01)


BIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond (0.02)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.02)


RICK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RICK  RCI Hospitality (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GES



TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (-0.87)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.89)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.89)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.9)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.91)









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