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GES Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: GES could capitalize on fashion trends favoring retro styles, leveraging strong brand loyalty, which may lead to increased sales and recovery from current lows.

Bearish Case: Rising operational costs and fluctuating consumer preferences threaten GES's profitability, especially as consumer spending shifts towards health-conscious brands, limiting upside.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Increased sales due to retro fashion appeal - 60% chance.
2. Profit pressures from rising costs - 30% chance.
3. Unpredictable market fluctuations - 10% chance.

Trading Oracle: Consider long call debit spreads targeting GES at $20 strike by December 2024, utilizing current low implied volatility for low-cost entries. Favorable risk/reward balance with potential for earnings boost in Q1. Maintain a vigilant watch for consumer sales impacts from holiday trends.

November 21, 2024

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GES

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.93)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.92)

OXM Oxford Industries (0.91)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (0.9)

MUR Murphy Oil (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GES

REAL Therealreal (0.0)

GL Globe Life (0.0)

SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.0)

CRESY Cresud (-0.0)

COIN Coinbase (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GES

PANW Palo Alto Networks (-0.83)

APD Air Products & Chemicals (-0.83)

INCY Incyte (-0.83)

SRE Sempra Energy (-0.83)

SPGI S&P Global (-0.86)

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