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GFS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Increased demand for semiconductors, backed by CHIPS funding and strategic partnerships, supports GFS's revenue growth. Market stability expected as GFS navigates competitive pressures, resulting in possible upward price adjustments.



Bearish Case: Potential regulatory hurdles and legal challenges could limit GFS's growth. Ongoing market volatility and competition in the semiconductor industry may suppress margins, leading to decreased investor confidence.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Growth from CHIPS funding (70% chance).

2. Legal issues continue (35% chance).

3. Competitive pressures impact margins (60% chance).

4. Strong demand from auto/IoT sectors (40% chance).



Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish short volatility strategy by selling 1 $45 call options and buying 1 $50 call options, with a 65% probability of profit. This aligns with market resistance and aims for a 36% return on risk, capitalizing on current stable volatility metrics.


November 12, 2024


GlobalFoundries Forecast

GFS        GlobalFoundries

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Anticorrelated Assets

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