GH Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GH's strong Q4 growth (29% increase), strategic partnerships, and multi-cancer screening trials enhance its long-term growth potential and investor appeal.




Bearish Case: Despite growth, high put option volume and volatile historical price trends suggest market skepticism and potential downside risks for GH.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth from partnerships and trials: 50%
  • Market skepticism leading to volatility: 35%
  • Regulatory setbacks: 15%




Trading Oracle: Leverage long GH debit spreads ($36-$40 strikes, April expiry). Benefit from high volatility for near-term gains, driven by favorable earnings and strategic partnerships. Focus on potential dip in volatility post-news.



January 21, 2025


Guardant Health Forecast

GH        Guardant Health











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MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GH



TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (0.0)


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (0.0)


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (0.0)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (0.0)


MAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAS  Masco (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GH



BRKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRKR  Bruker (-0.74)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.78)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.79)


DNUT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNUT  Krispy Kreme (-0.79)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.79)









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