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HCC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: HCC shows resilience with strong demand for coal and increasing institutional support. Continued operational efficiency and favorable management decisions could drive the stock higher significantly, particularly as coal prices stabilize.



Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and a global shift towards renewable energy could suppress demand for coal, impacting HCC's profitability. Market volatility and uncertainty over economic conditions may lead to declines in stock price.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rise of 15% (30% chance) driven by robust coal demand.

2. Price decline of 10% (40% chance) due to falling market confidence.

3. Price stability around current levels (30% chance) as market digests mixed signals.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish debit spread using HCC January 2025 $70 call and $75 call options to profit from anticipated upward price movements while managing exposure risk. This strategy has a high probability of profit, leveraging expected volatility and HCC's mean-reverting nature in the coming months.


November 19, 2024


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HCC        Warrior Met Coal

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCC


GOOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOG  Alphabet (0.65)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (0.64)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.62)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.6)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.6)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCC


WBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBS  Webster Financial (0.0)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.0)


IBB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IBB  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Biotechnology (0.0)


SMCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMCI  Super Micro Computer (-0.0)


CYBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYBR  CyberArk Software (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCC


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (-0.53)


MAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAT  Mattel (-0.54)


MGPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGPI  MGP Ingredients (-0.54)


MDLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MDLZ  Mondelez International (-0.54)


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (-0.64)


HCC News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.







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