HCC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: HCC benefits from export demand and sound management, with a stable mean-reverting price action, suggesting potential for recovery if global coal demand increases HeliumHelium.




Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures, legal challenges, and the push towards renewables could suppress coal demand, potentially leading to continued stock decline Helium.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 20% chance of a 10% gain from stabilizing demand and positive sentiment Helium.
  • 30% probability of a 5% decline due to regulatory pressures .
  • 50% likelihood of stability due to mean-reverting price action Helium.




Trading Oracle: Sell February 2025 $55 put and buy March 2025 $50 put spread. Capitalize on HCC's stable IV and mean-reverting nature. This strategy benefits from limited downside, leveraging current volatility discrepancies and offers a favorable reward:risk ratio. High probability of profit with potential 23% return .



January 22, 2025


Warrior Met Coal Forecast

HCC        Warrior Met Coal











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCC



DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.58)


KRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRP  Kimbell Royalty Partners (0.56)


SNAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNAP  Snapchat (0.55)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.51)


HBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBM  Hudbay Minerals (0.46)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCC



FCN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCN  FTI Consulting (0.0)


PSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSX  Phillips 66 (0.0)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.01)


DAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAR  Darling Ingredients (0.01)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCC



GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (-0.4)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.4)


OPCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPCH  Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (-0.52)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (-0.53)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.55)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with HCC


 Ask any question about HCC!