HCC Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong export demand and stable management boost HCC's recovery potential. Positive long-term historical returns suggest resilience.




Bearish Case: Ongoing regulatory pressures and energy shifts towards renewables could suppress HCC's demand, risking further price declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 45% chance of price stability amid mean-reverting behavior and flat vol surfaces.
  2. 35% chance of decline due to regulatory pressures.
  3. 20% chance of rise on strong demand.




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May 27, 2025


Warrior Met Coal Forecast

HCC        Warrior Met Coal
















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