AI HCC Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: HCC shows strong recovery potential, driven by high export demand and resolution of recent operational challenges. Current price stability amidst volatility suggests upward momentum ahead.


Bearish Case: Potential regulatory pressures and declining coal market sentiment could trigger further decreases in HCC. An ongoing transition towards renewable energy remains a significant headwind.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 30% chance of a price increase driven by strong demand and operational efficiency.

2) 40% chance of a moderate drop due to macroeconomic volatility.

3) 30% stability in prices amid fluctuating demand dynamics.


Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bullish debit spread with September 2024 60.00 C and 65.00 C options to leverage potential volatility upside. This setup balances risk and maximizes profit potential as implied volatility remains elevated.


August 24, 2024


Warrior Met Coal Forecast

HCC      Warrior Met Coal











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCC



DAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAC  Danaos (0.86)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (0.83)


DB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DB  Deutsche (0.82)


GSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GSL  Global Ship Lease (0.82)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCC



SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)


NSP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NSP  Insperity (0.0)


NOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOC  Northrop Grumman (0.0)


FXF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXF  Rydex Investments - Invesco CurrencyShares Swiss Franc (-0.0)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCC



MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.76)


WB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WB  Weibo (-0.76)


MAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAT  Mattel (-0.77)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.77)


FWRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FWRD  Forward Air (-0.79)





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