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HIMS Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: HIMS's solid financial performance and growing demand for telehealth solutions could drive stock prices upward amid ongoing volatility. Continued investor confidence, supported by favorable earnings reports, may strengthen upward momentum.



Bearish Case: Intense competition, particularly from Amazon, poses a significant risk to HIMS's market share. High implied volatility indicators and potential regulatory challenges suggest strong headwinds that could pressure earnings and stock prices.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued profitability from increased subscriptions (60% probability).
  • Market corrections due to competitive pressures (25% probability).
  • Regulatory scrutiny impacts operations (15% probability).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long diagonal spread: buy $32 calls expiring within eight days and sell $34 calls. Given the current implied volatility of 105.5%, this strategy allows capitalizing on expected volatility decay while hedging against dips. Target a potential return of 20% in the near term, with 70% probability of profit based on market dynamics.


December 13, 2024


Hims & Hers Health Forecast

HIMS        Hims & Hers Health

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SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.88)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HIMS


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (-0.0)


MP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MP  MP Materials (-0.0)


JOBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOBY  Joby Aviation (-0.0)


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.0)


LUV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUV  Southwest Airlines (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HIMS


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.82)


TWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWI  Titan International (-0.84)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.86)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (-0.9)







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