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HIMS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HIMS continues leveraging robust telehealth demand, expanding its comprehensive offerings, which leads to accelerated growth. Strong earnings and market optimism support sustained price increases.



Bearish Case: Intense competition from major players like Amazon and potential regulatory hurdles create headwinds. High implied volatility reflects market uncertainty, indicating possible price corrections.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Robust Q4 earnings surprise (60%).
  2. Regulatory challenges from FDA scrutiny (20%).
  3. Competitive pressures lead to market share loss (20%).



Trading Oracle: Exploit the current high implied volatility through a short volatility strategy. Consider a bearish call spread expiring in 14 days by selling $63 calls and buying $69 calls. This strategy anticipates potential mean reversion given high volatility and competitive pressures, offering a 34% potential return.


February 15, 2025


Hims & Hers Health Forecast

HIMS        Hims & Hers Health

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HIMS


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.91)


WIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WIX  Wix.com (0.87)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.87)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.87)


APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HIMS


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (-0.0)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (-0.01)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.01)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.02)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HIMS


BRKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRKR  Bruker (-0.78)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.78)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.82)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (-0.84)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)







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