HIMS Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: HIMS' strong financials, low churn, and positive market outlook position the company for further growth, reflecting overperformance in user acquisition and rising order values.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility and heavy insider sales raise concerns about corporate stability, compounded by potential regulatory challenges and scrutiny over compounded GLP-1 drug sales.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Sustained growth (~60%) due to profitability and market capture,

2) Market saturation and regulatory issues (~30%) leading to corrections,

3) Increased competition impacting user base and revenues (~10%).


Trading Oracle: Trade a bullish debit spread targeting the August expiry around the $22.50-$25 strike range. High implied volatility suggests substantial price moves. Favor long volatility strategies given the current trend, aiming for high reward:risk ratio and potential price increase driven by strong earnings and growth outlook.


July 19, 2024


Hims & Hers Health Forecast

HIMS      Hims & Hers Health











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HIMS



INSP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSP  Inspire Medical Systems (0.0)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STAA  Staar Surgical (-0.0)


LILA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LILA  Liberty Latin America Ltd (-0.0)


AI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AI  C3.ai (-0.0)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HIMS



SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.91)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.93)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TECS  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.95)





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