HMC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Honda's strong U.S. sales and strategic partnerships place it for future growth. The EV strategy, cost reductions through shared software platforms, and robust share buyback plans drive positive sentiment.


Bearish Case: High R&D expenses, competitive pressures from BYD in Asia, and upcoming financial share sales present risks. Market mean-reversion trends suggest limited immediate upside.


Potential Outcomes:

1. EV strategy success (35%).

2. Stagnant market due to high competition (30%).

3. Negative impact from financial share sales (20%).

4. Financially constrained by high R&D (15%). Estimates based on market trends, competition, and historical data.


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July 13, 2024


Honda Motor Forecast

HMC      Honda Motor











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