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HPQ Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Recent AI product launches at CES 2025 show HP's strategic alignment with growth trends, potentially driving increased demand and revenue.



Bearish Case: Supply chain issues, competitive pressures, and economic challenges may continue impacting margins and revenue, creating downside risk.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Revenue growth from AI and tech innovations (60%)

2. Margin pressure from supply issues (40%)

3. Enhanced market position through tech advancements (70%)

4. Economic factors hinder growth (50%)



Trading Oracle: Trade long volatility debit spreads given backwardation & high near-term volatility, leveraging recent innovations. Buy 3-month $32-$33 call spread, expect bullish rebound catalyzed by CES innovations. This setup exploits the slight bullish sentiment, driven by AI-driven product momentum.


February 01, 2025











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HPQ


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