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HSBC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: HSBC could see upside from an uptick in Asian market engagement and increasing interest rates, improving profitability. Recent commitments to sustainability may strengthen investor confidence.



Bearish Case: Regulatory uncertainties, especially in China, coupled with potentially negative media coverage could weigh on HSBC's stock. A slower-than-expected recovery in global markets might suppress growth prospects.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 50%: Strong earnings from Asian operations boost stock.

2. 25%: Regulatory issues in China hinder growth.

3. 15%: Increased interest rates enhance profit margins.

4. 10%: Global economic downturn leads to significant declines in lending volumes.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long call spread targeting $46-$47 over a 30-45 day horizon, leveraging elevated implied volatility for potential upside. High probabilities of profit due to favorable market edge in shorter tenors. Adjust positions based on regulatory updates and market sentiment.


November 12, 2024


HSBC Forecast

HSBC        HSBC

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