Bullish Case: HTGC shows solid record Q4 and full-year 2023 net investment income growth. The new supplemental cash distribution and increased liquidity signal strong performance and investor confidence.


Bearish Case: The unsustainably high dividend payout ratio and the significant drop in earnings could indicate a potential dividend cut and future financial instability for HTGC.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Dividend cut due to payout ratio dangerously high (probability: 35%).

2) Stable dividends and rising share price influenced by solid financials (probability: 45%).

3) Decrease in value upon negative earnings or unforeseen events (probability: 20%).


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February 22, 2024


Hercules Forecast

[HTGC]  Hercules
Price Forecast: BEARISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)



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HTGC Balanced News:
















Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with HTGC



GNTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GNTX]  Gentex (0.92)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CAT]  Caterpillar (0.9)


JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [JOE]  St. Joe (0.88)


PNR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PNR]  Pentair (0.87)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FRSH]  Freshworks (0.85)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to HTGC



SMTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SMTC]  Semtech (-0.0)


LHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LHX]  L3Harris (0.01)


LEVI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LEVI]  Levi Strauss (0.01)


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GLD]  SPDR Gold Shares (0.01)


DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DFS]  Discover Financial Services (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against HTGC



QID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [QID]  ProShares UltraShort QQQ (-0.74)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPXS]  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UVXY]  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.76)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VXX]  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.76)


FAZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FAZ]  Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares (-0.76)


HTGC News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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