HTGC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The stabilization in implied volatility and potential for consistent dividends make HTGC attractive to yield-focused investors. Recent portfolio quality concerns appear managed.




Bearish Case: High put volume and lower investor engagement suggest possible downside; economic conditions could strain HTGC’s portfolio performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30%: Price increases with consistent dividends attracting investors.
  • 35%: Price declines amid negative sentiment and rate impacts.
  • 35%: Price remains flat due to mixed signals and low volatility.



May 15, 2025


Hercules Forecast

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