ICE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The flat term structure with relatively low implied volatility suggests a stable market environment, indicating potential upside due to ICE's strong business fundamentals.




Bearish Case: Higher put option volumes and bearish risk exceeding bullish risk imply a pessimistic market sentiment, suggesting potential downside pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth (50%): strong fundamentals and strategic acquisitions.
  • Stagnation (30%): due to regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Decline (20%): driven by insider selling and market uncertainties.




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May 07, 2025


Intercontinental Exchange Forecast

ICE        Intercontinental Exchange











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ICE



AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (0.87)


RING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RING  BTC iShares MSCI Global G (0.86)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.85)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.76)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ICE



DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (0.0)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (0.01)


SBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBH  Sally Beauty (-0.02)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (0.02)


PCOR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCOR  Procore (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ICE



MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.71)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.73)


AMCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCX  AMC Networks (-0.74)


IPGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IPGP  IPG Photonics (-0.75)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.76)









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