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ICF Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ICF shows strong potential for upward momentum due to increased call option volume and historically mean-reverting price action, suggesting recovery potential. Elevated implied volatility also indicates possible price spikes.

Bearish Case: ICF faces risks from market volatility and economic headwinds impacting REITs. Historical returns show negative outcomes in certain periods, and elevated market uncertainty could pressurize the price downward.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Market rally boosting ICF (60%)

2. Economic downturn affecting REIT prices (30%)

3. Regulatory shifts positively impacting infrastructure (10%)

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread with ICF calls at $62, selling higher strikes at $67. Leverage elevated volatility and strong call volume for high reward potential. Short-term outlook of 1-2 months maximizes profit while managing risk.

February 13, 2025

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ICF BTC iShares Cohen & Steers REIT

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ICF

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.99)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.95)

AFL Aflac (0.9)

SO Southern (0.89)

SHW Sherwin-Williams (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ICF

ROOT Root (0.0)

IAC IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.0)

JOE St. Joe (0.0)

MCK Mckesson (0.01)

SKYT SkyWater Technology (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ICF

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.8)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.84)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.84)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (-0.86)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)

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