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ICFI Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: The ICFI price shows robust support around $171, reinforced by positive historical return probabilities over holding years. Increased trading volume in call options suggests bullish sentiment; significant government contracts may further buoy stock prices.

Bearish Case: Despite the current price stability, potential market volatility persists, particularly with high put option implied volatility indicating market concern over an earnings miss. Insider selling could reflect cautious executive sentiment, heightening risks.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings beat boosting stock: 40%.

2. Earnings miss triggering a dip: 30%.

3. Guidance raise supporting upward momentum: 20%.

4. Global market downturn influencing prices negatively: 10%.

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October 22, 2024

ICF International Forecast

ICFI ICF International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ICFI

SKY Skyline Champion (0.88)

MA Mastercard Incorporated (0.88)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.87)

CRH CRH Plc (0.86)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ICFI

GILD Gilead Sciences (-0.0)

CFLT Confluent (0.0)

PCOR Procore (0.0)

LOGI Logitech International (-0.0)

REPX Riley Exploration Permian (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ICFI

KOS Kosmos Energy (-0.78)

EQNR Equinor ASA - (-0.79)

AGL Agilon Health (-0.79)

SDOW ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.8)

HLF Herbalife Nutrition (-0.84)

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