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IDR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: IDR's robust revenue growth and high call option volume (67% over puts) suggest strong market confidence. If AI advancements continue and macro conditions improve, a price increase of 7-10% is plausible.



Bearish Case: Persistent insider selling and legal threats surrounding student loans could trigger sentiment swings, potentially driving IDR down by 5-8%. High implied volatility supporting downward pressure reinforces this viewpoint.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Market positivity due to AI growth (30%, +10%).

2. Insider selling induces a panic drop (20%, -5%).

3. Continued volatility leads to flat performance (50%, ~0%).



Trading Oracle: Sell IDR 11/15/2024 10.00 P (IV: 187.5%) to leverage potential downside while buying IDR 11/15/2024 12.50 C (IV: 78.1%) to hedge bullish sentiment. Aim for a net credit gain through this spread strategy under a bearish market outlook.


November 03, 2024


Idaho Strategic Resources Forecast

IDR        Idaho Strategic Resources

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LDOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LDOS  Leidos (0.95)


NGD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NGD  New Gold (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IDR


GSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GSK  Glaxosmithkline (-0.0)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.0)


CGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGC  Canopy Growth (0.01)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.01)


LUV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUV  Southwest Airlines (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IDR


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.93)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.94)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.94)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.94)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)







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