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IGIC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: IGIC shows strong historical returns, supported by recent price stability and low holding period variance, indicating potential for upward movement, especially if geopolitical stability improves.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility, especially in put options, suggests market fear, with geopolitical risks potentially driving downward pressure on IGIC prices.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilizes around $26 (50%) - Likely in absence of major events.
  • Price rise to $30 (25%) - If geopolitical climate improves significantly.
  • Price drops to $22 (20%) - Triggered by potential negative news or earnings misses.
  • Volatility increase (5%) - Driven by unexpected geopolitical events.


May 07, 2025


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