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AI III Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased demand for Information Services, driven by robust GDP contributions and potential technological advancements, may catalyze a sustained price recovery for III, supported by historical return patterns showing positive long-term gains.

Bearish Case: Persistent market challenges, including heightened competition and potential earnings misses, could lead to continued price declines for III, reflecting historical volatility in short to medium terms that may outweigh bullish indicators.

Potential Outcomes:

1) 50% chance of sustained growth from GDP contributions;

2) 30% chance of stagnation due to competitive pressures;

3) 20% chance of significant M&A activity driving recovery. This analysis integrates historical trends and market dynamics.

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September 15, 2024

Information Services Forecast

III Information Services

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with III

RICK RCI Hospitality (0.94)

LEG Leggett & Platt (0.93)

DAVA Endava plc (0.93)

U Unity Software (0.92)

AKAM Akamai (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to III

REM iShares Mortgage Real Est (-0.0)

EH EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.0)

VGLT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.0)

URNM North Shore Global Uranium Mining (-0.0)

NXE NexGen Energy (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against III

VITL Vital Farms (-0.83)

AM Antero Midstream (-0.84)

SE Sea (-0.88)

BJ BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.88)

ACGL Arch (-0.9)

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