INFY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong AI and cloud developments enhance revenue potential, supporting upward price movement. Stable option structures bolster this scenario.




Bearish Case: Competitive pressures, geopolitical risks, and potential regulatory hurdles could curb growth. Elevated implied volatility suggests caution.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate growth due to AI and cloud expansions (60%).

2. Stagnation from global uncertainties (25%).

3. Regulatory setbacks impact negatively (15%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a two-month credit spread at-the-money using $24 and $25 strikes. Favor short volatility given high implied vol and INFY's mean-reverting nature. High probability of profit with potential return from volatility decay.



December 27, 2024


Infosys Forecast

INFY        Infosys











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CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.82)



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Assets with little price relationship to INFY



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CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.03)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.03)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against INFY



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.8)


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (-0.81)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.84)


ALV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALV  Autoliv (-0.85)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.87)









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