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AI IPO Forecast

Bullish Case: Given the historical trend indicating significant positive returns over 3-5 years, and current market conditions suggesting possible recovery, there is a compelling bullish outlook for IPO prices increasing towards $50 in the coming year.

Bearish Case: With short-term volatility peaking and a bearish sentiment established by recent price trends, we might witness a further decline, potentially dropping below $35, as investor confidence wanes amid economic uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued decline (40% chance);

2. Moderate recovery (30% chance);

3. Strong rally towards $50 (20% chance);

4. Market stabilization (10% chance). These outcomes rely on volatility trends and historical return patterns.

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August 16, 2024

Renaissance IPO Forecast

IPO Renaissance IPO

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IPO

ARKW ARK Next Generation Internet (0.97)

BLOK Amplify Transformational Data Sharing (0.96)

AIQ Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (0.95)

SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.94)

EFA BTC iShares MSCI EAFE (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IPO

BSY Bentley Systems (-0.0)

CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide (0.0)

SFIX Stitch Fix (-0.0)

EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro (0.01)

BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IPO

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.91)

SRTY ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.92)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.92)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.93)

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