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IPO Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Potential for long-term gains exists due to historical return surfaces suggesting positive returns. Current stabilizing price action indicates room for growth.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests substantial market uncertainty. With recent flat performance, there’s risk of further downturn, especially amid broader economic concerns.



Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of stabilization following historical patterns; 30% for further decline due to volatility; 20% for moderate rise on positive data; 10% for sharp spike from market events.



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February 19, 2025


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