IYT Forecast


Bullish Case: IYT may see bullish momentum as transportation demand recovers, supported by low market volatility and favorable economic indicators, potentially driving prices above $70.




Bearish Case: A bearish outlook could materialize if economic conditions worsen, causing high volatility to pressure prices below $65, exacerbating losses in the transportation sector.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Recovery in transport demand: 40%.

2. Continued flat prices with volatility selling: 30%.

3. Sudden downturn from economic shifts: 20%.

4. Unexpected market event causes drastic shifts: 10%.




Trading Oracle: Consider implementing a bull put spread by selling the $68 strike put and buying the $66 put. This strategy leverages low implied volatility and a strong probability of profit, aiming for 73% odds with potential returns of 11%.



October 27, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation Forecast

IYT        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IYT



JBHT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBHT  J.B. Hunt Transport Services (0.92)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.9)


IGV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGV  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (0.88)


PYCR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PYCR  Paycor HCM (0.87)


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IYT



MANH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MANH  Manhattan Associates (0.0)


HNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HNST  Honest Company Inc (The ) (0.0)


TRMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMB  Trimble (0.0)


SFIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFIX  Stitch Fix (0.0)


HOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOG  Harley-Davidson (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IYT



PSQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSQ  ProShares Short QQQ (-0.79)


EVER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVER  EverQuote (-0.8)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.81)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.82)


GTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTE  Gran Tierra Energy (-0.86)









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