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JD Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: JD.com set to benefit from bullish consumer sentiment and strong sales during the Singles’ Day event, paired with stimulus measures stimulating demand. Analysts anticipate a recovery in consumer confidence post-pandemic bolstered by government support.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds persist from slowing Chinese growth and ongoing regulatory scrutiny, risking profit margins. Increased competition in e-commerce might squeeze JD’s market share, with concerns about sustained sales growth impacting investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Consumer spending recovery drives stock price up to $45 (60%);

2. Persistent competition leads to flat growth, stock stagnates around $39 (30%);

3. Economic downturn results in stock decline to $35 (10%).

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November 12, 2024

JD.com Forecast

JD JD.com

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets with little price relationship to JD

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BYD Boyd Gaming (-0.01)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JD

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.6)

VSAT Viasat (-0.62)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.65)

DV DoubleVerify (-0.66)

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