JOE Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: JOE’s strategic real estate developments and optimistic investor sentiment could spur growth, supported by mild implied volatility and historical gains.




Bearish Case: High put trading volume and recent price declines suggest market skepticism, with volatility potentially exacerbating downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Market Rally (25%): Buoyed by strategic growth.
  • Continued Volatility (45%): Due to market uncertainty.
  • Price Decline (30%): Increased put activity reflects bearish sentiment.




Trading Oracle: Given current volatility and mixed sentiment, initiate a bullish debit spread. Buy $45 calls, sell $50 calls, 60 days out. Aim for JOE’s upward potential, leveraging low volatility for a favorable risk-reward ratio. This strategy offers a high probability-of-profit.



January 11, 2025


St. Joe Forecast

JOE        St. Joe











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Assets that tend to move strongly against JOE



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