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LAC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: LAC stands to gain from U.S. federal support for domestic lithium production; the Thacker Pass project presents notable growth potential, offering strategic positioning within the U.S. lithium market.



Bearish Case: LAC faces significant risks from legal challenges and no current production revenue; high volatility and potential dilution remain concerns, with GM's reduced holdings triggering short-term uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth from government support and project success: 30%
  • Legal challenges delay project: 30%
  • Market volatility impacts price negatively: 25%
  • Major investor changes affect sentiment: 15%



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July 02, 2025


Lithium Americas Forecast

LAC        Lithium Americas

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