LAD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: LAD's strategic acquisitions and strong earnings growth, along with a positive institutional outlook, support potential upside. The current mean-reverting price action suggests stabilization Helium.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility, supply chain concerns, and increased put volume suggest downside risks. Economic uncertainty could pressure price declines Helium.




Potential Outcomes: Significant growth (35%), stabilization at current levels (25%), decline due to macroeconomic pressures (20%), volatility spike (20%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a short volatility strategy with credit spreads due to backwardation in the term structure. Sell a March 320 put and buy a March 310 put to capture premium. This targets a neutral to bullish outlook, leveraging market stabilization prospects and high implied volatility for a 70% probability of profit.



January 23, 2025


Lithia Motors Forecast

LAD        Lithia Motors











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DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (0.01)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.01)


VERV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VERV  Verve Therapeutics (0.01)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (-0.01)


HBM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBM  Hudbay Minerals (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LAD



OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.73)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.73)


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VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.77)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.84)









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