LAD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The high call volume and institutional interest suggest strong market confidence in LAD's strategic moves, such as acquisitions, pointing to potential upward momentum.




Bearish Case: Recent price declines and macroeconomic pressures indicate potential overvaluation and risk of further downturns, with high implied volatility reflecting market uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilizes near $300 due to market sentiment: 40%
  • Growth towards $350 with acquisitions: 30%
  • Economic pressures drive price below $270: 20%
  • Unexpected volatility creates erratic movements: 10%



March 20, 2025


Lithia Motors Forecast

LAD        Lithia Motors











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LAD



CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.94)


ADSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADSK  Autodesk (0.92)


BLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLK  Blackrock (0.92)


EWBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWBC  East West Bancorp (0.92)


ZM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZM  Zoom Video Communications (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LAD



AMH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMH  American Homes 4 Rent (-0.0)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.01)


MSGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSGE  Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp - (-0.01)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.01)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LAD



VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.82)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (-0.82)


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.82)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.85)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.86)









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