LAUR Forecast


Bullish Case: LAUR has demonstrated strong revenue growth and expanding profit margins in recent years. Continued enrollment growth in Mexico and favorable foreign currency exchange rates can significantly boost LAUR's performance.


Bearish Case: LAUR’s recent price retreats, instances of insider selling, and moderate correlation with AI forecasts suggest underlying weaknesses. Additionally, negative historic correlation between the HeliumTrades AI price forecast and actual price raises concerns.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Rebound in Peruvian market: 30%.

2. Continued enrollment growth in Mexico: 40%.

3. Favorable analyst price targets hit: 25%.

4. Impact of insider selling realized: 35%. Based on recent AI implied volatility, increasing uncertainty may impact future price.


Trading Oracle: Profitable strategy: Use long volatility via debit spreads targeting a medium-term horizon. With elevated implied volatility and mean-reverting historical price action, there's an edge for moderately bullish positions. Time horizon: 60-90 days. Strategy: Bullish debit spreads.


June 30, 2024


Laureate Education Forecast

LAUR      Laureate Education











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LAUR



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.76)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.51)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LAUR



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.51)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.76)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LAUR



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.76)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.51)





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