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LEA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: LEA benefits from renewed demand in EV parts market, supported by stable volatility and a high price return likelihood within favorable market conditions.

Bearish Case: Ongoing geopolitical risks and historically flat performance maintain bearish pressure, evidenced by high implied volatility and limited positive catalysts.

Potential Outcomes: Price remains stable with 50% likelihood; moderate increase to $105 (30%); decline to $90 (20%) due to external pressures.

Trading Oracle: Execute bearish short volatility strategy: Sell $100 calls, buy $105 calls expiring in 35 days. Aligns with current high volatility, offering 84% profit probability, leveraging negative net delta and favoring downside protection.

February 18, 2025

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