LEA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: LEA's strong positioning in the EV market and recent supply chain improvements offer resilience and growth potential. Strategic EV advancements boost investor confidence despite broader market uncertainties.




Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility and recent negative price trajectory signal significant downside risk. Geopolitical tensions and economic instability exacerbate potential decline, undermining investor sentiment.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Geopolitical stabilizes, boosting LEA (30%).

2. Current flat trend persists (40%).

3. Downturn due to economic pressures (30%).




Trading Oracle: Initiate a defined-risk bullish debit spread: buy LEA 95C and sell 100C, expiring in 60 days. This exploits low skew and potential near-term recovery with a 1.8:1 reward-risk ratio and 70% probability of profit.



December 27, 2024


Lear Forecast

LEA        Lear











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LEA



AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.9)


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