LEO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Institutional interest in LEO’s municipal bonds could stabilize prices and offer slight gains, especially if market conditions favor safe-haven assets.




Bearish Case: Persistent underperformance, operational losses, and high fees continue to weigh down LEO with a historical trend of negative returns.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Flat price action (45%): aligns with historical mean reversion.

2. Moderate rally (25%): positive institutional support.

3. Decline (30%): escalating operational challenges.




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January 10, 2025


BNY Mellon Strategic Municipals Forecast

LEO        BNY Mellon Strategic Municipals
















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