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LITE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: LITE's mean-reversion tendency, increased call volumes, and backwardation suggest potential for a rebound, supported by cloud and data center growth prospects. The market's proactive stance on LITE's emergent technologies in photonics enhances bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Persistent legal challenges and high implied volatility point to potential downside risks. Market skepticism is highlighted by lower put volumes, indicating a cautious approach amid competitive pressures.

Potential Outcomes: Technical rebound driven by mean reversion: 40%
Continued bearish trend due to legal risks: 35%
Stagnation with minor volatility fluctuations: 25%

March 19, 2025

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