LLY Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong pipeline with recent FDA approvals and above-market implied volatility suggest continued growth. Robust social media sentiment enhances this outlook.




Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio and recent price decline raise concerns of overvaluation, compounded by litigation and regulatory risks.




Potential Outcomes: 30% chance LLY stabilizes after recent drop; 40% for growth due to new drug success; 30% correction likelihood from valuation concerns.




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January 15, 2025


Lilly(Eli) Forecast

LLY        Lilly(Eli)











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LLY



MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (0.83)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.82)


PSFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSFE  Paysafe Limited (0.8)


ABUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABUS  Arbutus Biopharma (0.79)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LLY



V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (-0.02)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.02)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.02)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.03)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LLY



YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (-0.78)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.79)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.8)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.82)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.86)









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