LMND Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Potential recovery due to high institutional interest and innovation boosting fundamentals, alongside increased call option volume indicating market optimism.




Bearish Case: Continued bearish sentiment driven by high implied volatility, lack of earnings support, and potential dilution effects from recent stock offerings indicating risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. Further gains driven by institutional backing and user growth (40% probability).
  • 2. Price stagnation as market absorbs high volatility and sentiment adjusts (35% probability).
  • 3. Declines from potential dilution and macroeconomic pressures (25% probability).




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish long call spread by purchasing $43.5 calls and selling $45 calls, with expiration in approximately 11 days. This strategy takes advantage of high implied volatility and offers a potential massive return with favorable odds of 88%.



December 18, 2024


Lemonade Forecast

LMND        Lemonade











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LMND



HOMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOMB  Home Bancshares (0.78)


ZION Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZION  Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.74)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.73)


DEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DEI  Douglas Emmett (0.71)


COF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COF  Capital One Financial (0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LMND



UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.0)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.0)


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (-0.0)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.01)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LMND



WEAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WEAT  Teucrium Wheat (-0.55)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.55)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.56)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.56)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.6)









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