LMND Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Potential recovery due to high institutional interest and innovation boosting fundamentals, alongside increased call option volume indicating market optimism.




Bearish Case: Continued bearish sentiment driven by high implied volatility, lack of earnings support, and potential dilution effects from recent stock offerings indicating risk.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. Further gains driven by institutional backing and user growth (40% probability).
  • 2. Price stagnation as market absorbs high volatility and sentiment adjusts (35% probability).
  • 3. Declines from potential dilution and macroeconomic pressures (25% probability).




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish long call spread by purchasing $43.5 calls and selling $45 calls, with expiration in approximately 11 days. This strategy takes advantage of high implied volatility and offers a potential massive return with favorable odds of 88%.



December 18, 2024


Lemonade Forecast

LMND        Lemonade











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LMND



ZION Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZION  Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.7)


USB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USB  U.S. Bancorp. (0.69)


HBAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBAN  Huntington Bancshares (0.67)


FHN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FHN  First Horizon (0.65)


RF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RF  Regions Financial (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LMND



MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.0)


DKNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKNG  DraftKings (0.01)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (0.01)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (0.01)


QID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QID  ProShares UltraShort QQQ (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LMND



SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.49)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.5)


SMCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMCI  Super Micro Computer (-0.5)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.52)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (-0.53)









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