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LMT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: LMT's strong defense contracts and geopolitical tensions drive potential growth. The historical return surface supports positive price momentum.



Bearish Case: Persistent supply chain issues and high put option volumes suggest potential downside risks. Bearish risk exceeds bullish risk across tenors.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Increased defense contracts due to global tensions (70% chance).
  • Persistent supply chain issues could hinder growth (30% chance).
  • Geopolitical unpredictability impacting operations (10% chance).



Trading Oracle: Implement a 3-month bullish debit call spread on LMT targeting June expiry. Capture potential upside driven by defense contracts and mitigate risk from supply chain issues with this spread strategy.


February 18, 2025


Lockheed Martin Forecast

LMT        Lockheed Martin

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